Enriching the lives of our family of investor

 
RESEARCH CENTER >> SECTOR COMMENTARY:
INDUSTRIAL SECTOR 
Q3, 2007
 
 
According to Torto Wheaton Research (TWR), demand for industrial space nationwide has been boosted by the steady surge of foreign trade. TWR is one of the premier providers of research services to owners and investors in the U.S. and Canadian commercial real estate markets. Foreign trade, measured by combining imports and exports as a percentage of GDP, has reached nearly 30% of the GDP. U.S. consumer spending and a net population growth of approximately 2 million per year has led to increased imports (about 9%) and exports (about 7%) over the last four years.*

The expectation for long-term continued growth of foreign trade remains quite favorable. As foreign trade continues to improve, so does the absorption of industrial space.**

Vacancy rates for the industrial sector have declined, with Q1 2007 rates of 8.15% down nearly 0.44% from Q1 2006, according to Colliers International.*** The improved vacancy rates, although not uniform across the U.S. due to physical and regulatory supply constraints, have resulted in an improvement of landlord pricing power, with rents increasing for the third consecutive year. **

In terms of performance, industrial property returns remain strong with National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCRIEF) total returns reaching 18.5% over the trailing 12 months.** The NCREIF Property Index is an index of quarterly returns on investment grade commercial properties owned by the members.. And, according to Torto Wheaton Research, risk adjusted returns for industrial are stronger than the retail and office sectors due in part to the industrial sector’s lower volatility compared to other property types, trailing only apartments.

We are expecting the industrial sector to remain favorably active. We look forward to continued positive absorption and steadily declining vacancy rates as the U.S. consumer spending and global trade continue to increase.

*Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis2Q, 2006

**Source: Torto Wheaton Research2Q, 2006

***Source: Colliers International 2007